Should you rush to buy resale tickets for a new tour?
Across 1,608 US concerts on newly listed tours in autumn 2026, the lowest listed resale price two weeks after TourTicketCompare first recorded it was lower at 49% of shows and higher at 24%. Prices fell about twice as often as they rose, but there was no fall at half the shows.
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Rushing to buy resale tickets for a new tour rarely paid off. TourTicketCompare keeps a daily record of the lowest listed price on Vivid Seats, TicketNetwork and StubHub International for the shows it tracks. For 1,608 US concerts by 100 artists whose first recorded price fell between 9 August and 19 October 2026, the lowest listed price two weeks later was lower than on that first day at 788 of them (49%). It was higher at 390 (24%) and about the same at 430. The typical change was a fall of 1.8%, about $1.40.
So prices fell about twice as often as they rose. That is a record of what happened on these tours, not a forecast, and at a quarter of the shows the price went up.
Site by site
Each row compares one site with itself, for the same show, on the first day TourTicketCompare recorded a price and 14 days later. "About the same" means within 2% either way.
Site
Shows
Lower
Higher
About the same
Vivid Seats
1,081
518
326
237
TicketNetwork
1,215
616
265
334
StubHub International
283
117
88
78
On every site, falls outnumbered rises. Sites list different seats with different fees, so this does not compare one site with another.
How big the moves were
Most changes were small. At 13% of shows (208) the lowest listing fell by a quarter or more in the first fortnight, and at 5% (74) it rose by a quarter or more. A big drop was more common than a big rise, but neither was the norm. After one week the picture was similar: lower at 696 shows, higher at 330.
Three shows, day by day
Each figure is the lowest listed price on that site at its last check of the day (days in UTC).
Harry Styles, Atlanta, 21 May 2027. Vivid Seats: $586 on 11 September 2026, the first day it was recorded, then $211 a week later and $101 after two weeks.
Fontaines D.C., Atlanta, 8 October 2027. TicketNetwork: $184 on 4 October 2026, $46 a week later and $42.55 after two weeks.
Carly Rae Jepsen, Chicago, 21 May 2027. The other way: TicketNetwork was $163.30 on 4 October 2026, then $227.70 a week later and $326.60 after two weeks.
What this does and doesn't say
The first day is when TourTicketCompare first recorded a price, not the official on-sale date. A show can enter the records on its on-sale day or days or weeks later, once its links are verified, so this describes the first fortnight of tracking, not the first fortnight of sales.
It is the lowest listed price, not every seat. A lower starting price can mean a cheaper listing appeared, not that every ticket got cheaper.
It is not a rule. About half the shows had no fall, and a quarter got dearer. It covers tours listed in summer and autumn 2026 only.
It is US shows only. TourTicketCompare tracks too few shows elsewhere to say anything yet.
It says nothing about face value. Official tickets at face value are a different market, and when they sell out, resale may be the only option.
A listed price is not a checkout total. Fees, delivery and seat location differ between listings and between sites. Check the full total on the ticket site before you pay.
Across more than 100 US tours tracked in autumn 2026, the lowest listed resale price in Pittsburgh, Nashville and Miami was below the tour's typical price on both Vivid Seats and TicketNetwork in both September and October. New York and San Francisco were above it every time.
Across about 1,200 US concerts tracked daily from September to early November 2026, the lowest listed resale price was unchanged on most days, but at 47% to 68% of shows (depending on the site) it moved by a fifth or more overnight at least once. At 18% to 28% of shows the highest daily low was at least double the lowest.
TourTicketCompare compared the lowest listed resale price for 1,072 upcoming US concert dates in early October and early November 2026, each site against itself. Falls outnumbered rises 1,201 to 621. Greta Van Fleet and Gracie Abrams dates fell most; John Summit and Don Omar dates rose.
Related guides
The step-by-step versions of what this post covers: